Lead Hospitality

Hotel Inventory Must Be Earned, One Booking at a Time

THE IDEA

The best booking is not always the one with the highest rate or the lowest-cost channel. Hotel inventory should be allocated based on expected net contribution, the value of each night, the risk involved and the business that may be displaced.

Sometimes, the most important financial decision of the day arrives disguised as good news. There are only a few rooms left, a booking comes in at an attractive rate, and the system confirms it without asking too many questions. The production report adds revenue, the occupancy percentage improves, and everyone breathes a little easier. Yet that booking has also just removed inventory from sale, perhaps on a date when other demand would have been willing to contribute more margin, accept better terms or consume additional services. We have sold a room, but we still do not know whether we have made a good decision.

The difficulty is that hotel inventory is at once perishable, limited and uneven. A room left vacant tonight loses its opportunity to generate revenue forever, but a room sold too early, under unsuitable terms, can also destroy value. Moreover, not every night in a stay carries the same importance. A weak-demand Thursday may welcome a booking that limits our ability to accommodate a much more profitable request the following Saturday. The stay arrives as a commercial unit, while the hotel must manage it as a sequence of daily capacities.

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